The project will use a quantitative longitudinal survey to trace the experiences and transitions of workers – including former OEM employees, those who remain in firms previously in the supply chain, and those made redundant from the supply chain – for five-years in annual surveys that record work (including identifying which occupations and industries workers are moving to) and non-work activities, and collect social, health and household data. Analysis will identify personal, household and labour market factors and include validated instruments for measuring well-being and finances.
We will conduct qualitative interviews with a subset of workers to identify perceived impediments to re-employment and to understand the impacts of job loss on imagined futures. We will conduct interviews with workers’ spouses to understand how job loss affects household dynamics.
For a subset of workers we will conduct discrete choice experiments on workers’ labour market expectations and decisions. This will be a world-first application of this technique for understanding the real-world choices and constraints faced by individuals affected by a large-scale redundancy. We will build case studies of the affected regions, documenting the overall labour market impacts of closures and exploring the capacity of regions to respond resiliently to change.
The research investigates how plant closures affects communities and the ways in which they can best respond to an economic shock. It draws on recent thinking about local leadership to better understand who are the key enablers of positive change when a major closure or job shedding or redundancies is announced.